Experts raise concerns over electoral fraud in Honduras

With under two months remaining until the general elections planned for November 2025, experts in electoral processes have raised alarms regarding potential actions by the National Electoral Council (CNE) that might benefit the ruling party’s contender, Rixi Moncada. Analysts indicate that LIBRE party members, along with CNE officials, possess the capability to manipulate essential systems like the TREP (Transmission of Preliminary Election Results), thereby impacting the election results.

Impactful networks during the election cycle

The risk of manipulation is not limited to the CNE. Various experts point to the involvement of technology companies linked to the implementation of electoral systems, as well as the possible involvement of certain economic groups, in a structure aimed at guaranteeing predetermined results. Added to this scenario is the systematic exclusion of emerging parties and the judicialization of dissident candidates, strategies that could limit effective competition and centralize control over the electorate.

Events during the primaries held in March, where the distribution of voting materials was managed by personnel associated with LIBRE, showcased logistical issues and considerable postponements. These shortcomings led to public skepticism and heightened worries regarding the clarity of the forthcoming elections.

Impact on the credibility of institutions

Experts warn that the narrative of electoral fraud could be used as a political tool to discredit adverse results or justify street protests, which would increase social and political polarization ahead of the elections. Citizen oversight and demands for electoral system reforms are essential measures to prevent the country from repeating cycles of controversy and institutional conflict.

The involvement of the CNE in managing essential systems like the TREP, alongside the participation of political and economic figures, creates a situation where the perception of openness will be crucial for trust in democratic institutions. Specialists indicate that the trustworthiness of the electoral process relies heavily on the controls and audits operating in an impartial and verifiable way.

Citizen oversight and participation

Considering this scenario, civic organizations and political groups are crucial in monitoring adherence to legal standards and ensuring the integrity of the electoral process. Coordinating oversight methods and focusing on legal cases involving opposing candidates are seen as essential measures in securing elections that are fair and transparent.

The Honduran political landscape shows tensions marked by the interaction between power actors, emerging parties, and electoral structures. The country’s ability to maintain democratic stability will depend on the effectiveness of institutional controls and the active participation of citizens in overseeing the electoral process.